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	<title>Comments on: The Case for Not Extending Theo Epstein</title>
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	<description>Just another Baseball Prospectus Local Sites site</description>
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		<title>By: blj60618</title>
		<link>http://wrigleyville.locals.baseballprospectus.com/2016/01/27/the-case-for-not-extending-theo-epstein/#comment-8535</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[blj60618]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 28 Jan 2016 15:19:25 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://wrigleyville.locals.baseballprospectus.com/?p=7696#comment-8535</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Great article well written, but disagree with you! Finish what you started. If they don&#039;t resign him that&#039;s a poor decision and that changes everything the Ricketts aimed to do to with the Cubs.  If he leaves on his own than he is no better than a good used car salesman..]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Great article well written, but disagree with you! Finish what you started. If they don&#8217;t resign him that&#8217;s a poor decision and that changes everything the Ricketts aimed to do to with the Cubs.  If he leaves on his own than he is no better than a good used car salesman..</p>
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		<title>By: Chris</title>
		<link>http://wrigleyville.locals.baseballprospectus.com/2016/01/27/the-case-for-not-extending-theo-epstein/#comment-8532</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Chris]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 28 Jan 2016 13:45:29 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://wrigleyville.locals.baseballprospectus.com/?p=7696#comment-8532</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[&quot;Slowly, and despite the best and most honest efforts made by brilliant and open-minded people, experience and success become drags on the process of constant, healthy change.&quot;

This is simply incorrect.  Experience empowers success.  Learning a craft makes it easier, over time, to exercise that craft.  Complacency or disillusion are drags.  

&quot;One of its key tenets is that those organizations tend to underestimate the ability to port knowledge capital developed by a specific individual or individuals to new ones, especially if steps are taken to codify the knowledge the organization develops in real time. They also often underestimate the availability (and so overestimate the market value) of great knowledge workers.&quot;

The person who wrote this has never worked in the private sector.  Knowledge loss is a constant threat when turning over personnel.  I know this from the real world where I work.  The codification of knowledge sounds good until you realize that you can&#039;t codify the experience that uses that knowledge.  You are also depending on the people who replace your knowledge workers having the same attributes that made the former ones successful.  Good luck with that one.

Change should be viewed with suspicion, not embraced for its own sake.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>&#8220;Slowly, and despite the best and most honest efforts made by brilliant and open-minded people, experience and success become drags on the process of constant, healthy change.&#8221;</p>
<p>This is simply incorrect.  Experience empowers success.  Learning a craft makes it easier, over time, to exercise that craft.  Complacency or disillusion are drags.  </p>
<p>&#8220;One of its key tenets is that those organizations tend to underestimate the ability to port knowledge capital developed by a specific individual or individuals to new ones, especially if steps are taken to codify the knowledge the organization develops in real time. They also often underestimate the availability (and so overestimate the market value) of great knowledge workers.&#8221;</p>
<p>The person who wrote this has never worked in the private sector.  Knowledge loss is a constant threat when turning over personnel.  I know this from the real world where I work.  The codification of knowledge sounds good until you realize that you can&#8217;t codify the experience that uses that knowledge.  You are also depending on the people who replace your knowledge workers having the same attributes that made the former ones successful.  Good luck with that one.</p>
<p>Change should be viewed with suspicion, not embraced for its own sake.</p>
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		<title>By: Rob</title>
		<link>http://wrigleyville.locals.baseballprospectus.com/2016/01/27/the-case-for-not-extending-theo-epstein/#comment-8515</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Rob]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 28 Jan 2016 04:06:40 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://wrigleyville.locals.baseballprospectus.com/?p=7696#comment-8515</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[One element not discussed here is the ability of the franchise to accurately choose a new president. Assuming Hoyer were to stay and is not promoted to President, it would be rather curious for him to hire his own boss. If that is not the case, what acumen do the Ricketts family or Rain Kenney have in hiring a baseball mind? Theo was a known commodity. Hiring the next big baseball mind requires the ability to identify that trait or skill. What tools do the Cubs have to do that?

That said, such well-reasoned and provocative arguments are a pleasure to read. This site is a treasure.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>One element not discussed here is the ability of the franchise to accurately choose a new president. Assuming Hoyer were to stay and is not promoted to President, it would be rather curious for him to hire his own boss. If that is not the case, what acumen do the Ricketts family or Rain Kenney have in hiring a baseball mind? Theo was a known commodity. Hiring the next big baseball mind requires the ability to identify that trait or skill. What tools do the Cubs have to do that?</p>
<p>That said, such well-reasoned and provocative arguments are a pleasure to read. This site is a treasure.</p>
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		<title>By: victor19nyc</title>
		<link>http://wrigleyville.locals.baseballprospectus.com/2016/01/27/the-case-for-not-extending-theo-epstein/#comment-8503</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[victor19nyc]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 27 Jan 2016 19:43:38 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://wrigleyville.locals.baseballprospectus.com/?p=7696#comment-8503</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[You present one side, management not extending.

What if Theo decides he doesn&#039;t want to stay for the same reason as your theory regarding management? What if he feels he&#039;s done all he can and wishes to pad his legacy somewhere else? He has the Cubs well positioned so he will get the lion&#039;s share of the credit when the WS is won so what&#039;s to be gained by hanging around?]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>You present one side, management not extending.</p>
<p>What if Theo decides he doesn&#8217;t want to stay for the same reason as your theory regarding management? What if he feels he&#8217;s done all he can and wishes to pad his legacy somewhere else? He has the Cubs well positioned so he will get the lion&#8217;s share of the credit when the WS is won so what&#8217;s to be gained by hanging around?</p>
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		<title>By: JoePepitone</title>
		<link>http://wrigleyville.locals.baseballprospectus.com/2016/01/27/the-case-for-not-extending-theo-epstein/#comment-8502</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[JoePepitone]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 27 Jan 2016 19:30:54 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://wrigleyville.locals.baseballprospectus.com/?p=7696#comment-8502</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Great article -- thought provoking and contrarian.  And not going to happen.  Not now.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Great article &#8212; thought provoking and contrarian.  And not going to happen.  Not now.</p>
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		<title>By: Ryan</title>
		<link>http://wrigleyville.locals.baseballprospectus.com/2016/01/27/the-case-for-not-extending-theo-epstein/#comment-8500</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Ryan]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 27 Jan 2016 17:21:40 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://wrigleyville.locals.baseballprospectus.com/?p=7696#comment-8500</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[[Ricketts hires Matthew Trueblood to inform Theo he&#039;s being let go]

Matt: Hey, uh, Theo
Theo:Yes?
Matt: You don&#039;t know me but I&#039;ve been told to inform you that you&#039;re not being reupped for another contract. You&#039;re being let go. 
Theo: (laughs uncontrollably) Go on!
Matt: Yeah, well, it&#039;s the truth. Front offices should be replaced every 10 years. It&#039;s a rule. With the exception of this case, where it&#039;s 5. And while you&#039;ve had among the most remarkable turnarounds in MLB history. And while you&#039;ve stacked this organization with talent at every level. 
Theo: (starts sobbing)
Matt: You see, you&#039;re being replaced... but not until the end of the year. Be sure to continue doing everything right for the rest of the season. The thing is, Ricketts was so enamored and captivated by my article filled with personal anecdotes and &quot;could maybe possibly definitely sort of&quot; reasoning that he choose me to inform you you&#039;re being let go. I&#039;m also heading up the search committee to find someone you will replace you who doesn&#039;t mind doing everything right but getting still fired after a few years. Welp, nice try though!]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>[Ricketts hires Matthew Trueblood to inform Theo he&#8217;s being let go]</p>
<p>Matt: Hey, uh, Theo<br />
Theo:Yes?<br />
Matt: You don&#8217;t know me but I&#8217;ve been told to inform you that you&#8217;re not being reupped for another contract. You&#8217;re being let go.<br />
Theo: (laughs uncontrollably) Go on!<br />
Matt: Yeah, well, it&#8217;s the truth. Front offices should be replaced every 10 years. It&#8217;s a rule. With the exception of this case, where it&#8217;s 5. And while you&#8217;ve had among the most remarkable turnarounds in MLB history. And while you&#8217;ve stacked this organization with talent at every level.<br />
Theo: (starts sobbing)<br />
Matt: You see, you&#8217;re being replaced&#8230; but not until the end of the year. Be sure to continue doing everything right for the rest of the season. The thing is, Ricketts was so enamored and captivated by my article filled with personal anecdotes and &#8220;could maybe possibly definitely sort of&#8221; reasoning that he choose me to inform you you&#8217;re being let go. I&#8217;m also heading up the search committee to find someone you will replace you who doesn&#8217;t mind doing everything right but getting still fired after a few years. Welp, nice try though!</p>
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		<title>By: PolitiJim (@politiJim)</title>
		<link>http://wrigleyville.locals.baseballprospectus.com/2016/01/27/the-case-for-not-extending-theo-epstein/#comment-8499</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[PolitiJim (@politiJim)]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 27 Jan 2016 17:10:17 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://wrigleyville.locals.baseballprospectus.com/?p=7696#comment-8499</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Any article that makes me think is good.  On that measure - this one is great.    But wrong.

Commenter NORM has it right.  The task is to win a World Series.  In fact, according to Ricketts, it is to win MULTIPLE WS or be perennially in contention for one.   That task is not done.

The Red Sox fell into disarray BECAUSE of their success and structure, not because of Theo&#039;s management or mismanagement.  He inherited a much more mature roster and was fortunate to build upon that foundation.  But all that success made those mature players too expensive and the underlying culture and talent feeding system was impure.

The other management principle that is missing in this idea is that unlike a project manager - a CEO&#039;s value is in providing structure, culture and overseeing the performance, adjustments and maintenance of OTHER managers.  It isn&#039;t just the individual deals and accomplishments that create his or her value - but their relationships, trust, confidence, focus, vision, encouragement and leadership that MAKES the other 300 people under him more effective.  Just as we all recognize the importance of Joe&#039;s leadership to the players - it is Theo&#039;s leadership and engineering (structural, emotional and even spiritual) that allows these other things to thrive.

As someone who has been a part of over a dozen start-ups and restructured companies, I can say with all confidence removing Theo now would significantly increase the risk soars that Cubs only compete for a WS for the next year or two, instead of establishing a permanent organization (yes - like the Cardinals) that will compete for the next 10 years.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Any article that makes me think is good.  On that measure &#8211; this one is great.    But wrong.</p>
<p>Commenter NORM has it right.  The task is to win a World Series.  In fact, according to Ricketts, it is to win MULTIPLE WS or be perennially in contention for one.   That task is not done.</p>
<p>The Red Sox fell into disarray BECAUSE of their success and structure, not because of Theo&#8217;s management or mismanagement.  He inherited a much more mature roster and was fortunate to build upon that foundation.  But all that success made those mature players too expensive and the underlying culture and talent feeding system was impure.</p>
<p>The other management principle that is missing in this idea is that unlike a project manager &#8211; a CEO&#8217;s value is in providing structure, culture and overseeing the performance, adjustments and maintenance of OTHER managers.  It isn&#8217;t just the individual deals and accomplishments that create his or her value &#8211; but their relationships, trust, confidence, focus, vision, encouragement and leadership that MAKES the other 300 people under him more effective.  Just as we all recognize the importance of Joe&#8217;s leadership to the players &#8211; it is Theo&#8217;s leadership and engineering (structural, emotional and even spiritual) that allows these other things to thrive.</p>
<p>As someone who has been a part of over a dozen start-ups and restructured companies, I can say with all confidence removing Theo now would significantly increase the risk soars that Cubs only compete for a WS for the next year or two, instead of establishing a permanent organization (yes &#8211; like the Cardinals) that will compete for the next 10 years.</p>
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		<title>By: jefflamb</title>
		<link>http://wrigleyville.locals.baseballprospectus.com/2016/01/27/the-case-for-not-extending-theo-epstein/#comment-8498</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[jefflamb]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 27 Jan 2016 16:54:26 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://wrigleyville.locals.baseballprospectus.com/?p=7696#comment-8498</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[This piece is well done. I saw quickly where you were going with the DARPA model and immediately thought &quot;but they require constant innovation... baseball doesn&#039;t, if you have a model that is working&quot;. Alas, you covered that line of thinking. 
I want another contract for Theo, mostly because I think one should get to see things through when they have done the hard work, but you made a great case.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>This piece is well done. I saw quickly where you were going with the DARPA model and immediately thought &#8220;but they require constant innovation&#8230; baseball doesn&#8217;t, if you have a model that is working&#8221;. Alas, you covered that line of thinking.<br />
I want another contract for Theo, mostly because I think one should get to see things through when they have done the hard work, but you made a great case.</p>
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		<title>By: mlermo</title>
		<link>http://wrigleyville.locals.baseballprospectus.com/2016/01/27/the-case-for-not-extending-theo-epstein/#comment-8493</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[mlermo]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 27 Jan 2016 15:41:16 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://wrigleyville.locals.baseballprospectus.com/?p=7696#comment-8493</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[It&#039;s an incredibly risky move that goes counter to the culture the organization has constructed (largely at the direction of Theo).  You would want the new person being brought in to sign on to the Cubs Way, but, by definition, forcing Theo out undermines it.  You are advocating bringing in someone with the autonomy and leadership skills to change the Cubs and MLB (drastically so).  Doing such a thing can only be seen as a rebuke to Theo when his stated goal is to stay on, to say nothing of the relationship with the team&#039;s irreplaceable manager, who signed on only a year ago largely because of a stated alignment in baseball philosophy (and who, coincidentally, opted out of his contract with his last team when the general manager left them).  I get the thought experiment, and no idea should be dismissed out of hand, but this one is fraught with risk with little to no upside.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>It&#8217;s an incredibly risky move that goes counter to the culture the organization has constructed (largely at the direction of Theo).  You would want the new person being brought in to sign on to the Cubs Way, but, by definition, forcing Theo out undermines it.  You are advocating bringing in someone with the autonomy and leadership skills to change the Cubs and MLB (drastically so).  Doing such a thing can only be seen as a rebuke to Theo when his stated goal is to stay on, to say nothing of the relationship with the team&#8217;s irreplaceable manager, who signed on only a year ago largely because of a stated alignment in baseball philosophy (and who, coincidentally, opted out of his contract with his last team when the general manager left them).  I get the thought experiment, and no idea should be dismissed out of hand, but this one is fraught with risk with little to no upside.</p>
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		<title>By: Jared Wyllys</title>
		<link>http://wrigleyville.locals.baseballprospectus.com/2016/01/27/the-case-for-not-extending-theo-epstein/#comment-8491</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Jared Wyllys]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 27 Jan 2016 15:18:56 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://wrigleyville.locals.baseballprospectus.com/?p=7696#comment-8491</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[I&#039;m sort of with Norm here. I applaud Matt&#039;s ability to make me at least entertain the notion of letting Theo walk, but I still don&#039;t think there&#039;s a strong case for it. True, many team executives could probably guide this team to the finish line of a World Series, but they doesn&#039;t mean they should. From the beginning, the new ownership and eventual front office have had the mindset of rebuilding the team and surrounding culture so that the Cubs can finally end the &quot;curse.&quot; I just don&#039;t trust anyone other than Theo and Jed to guide this organization to that point.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I&#8217;m sort of with Norm here. I applaud Matt&#8217;s ability to make me at least entertain the notion of letting Theo walk, but I still don&#8217;t think there&#8217;s a strong case for it. True, many team executives could probably guide this team to the finish line of a World Series, but they doesn&#8217;t mean they should. From the beginning, the new ownership and eventual front office have had the mindset of rebuilding the team and surrounding culture so that the Cubs can finally end the &#8220;curse.&#8221; I just don&#8217;t trust anyone other than Theo and Jed to guide this organization to that point.</p>
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