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	<title>Comments on: Ahead of the Curve As Always, Theo&#8217;s Plan Finds Imitators</title>
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		<title>By: Bob Paine</title>
		<link>http://wrigleyville.locals.baseballprospectus.com/2016/05/05/ahead-of-the-curve-as-always-theos-plan-finds-imitators/#comment-10390</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Bob Paine]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 07 May 2016 04:37:03 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description><![CDATA[If the draft rules stay roughly similar, I wonder if Theo&#039;s next gambit might be to blow past the 2017 amateur draft pool dollars and draft every player money can buy. The Cubs won&#039;t have any significant dollars to spend in the Carribean and will be able to pay any overage penalty with beer money. They can do more than enough to compensate for the future lost picks.  They could restock their entire system and build years of depth with a killer draft.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>If the draft rules stay roughly similar, I wonder if Theo&#8217;s next gambit might be to blow past the 2017 amateur draft pool dollars and draft every player money can buy. The Cubs won&#8217;t have any significant dollars to spend in the Carribean and will be able to pay any overage penalty with beer money. They can do more than enough to compensate for the future lost picks.  They could restock their entire system and build years of depth with a killer draft.</p>
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		<title>By: Joel Reese</title>
		<link>http://wrigleyville.locals.baseballprospectus.com/2016/05/05/ahead-of-the-curve-as-always-theos-plan-finds-imitators/#comment-10372</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Joel Reese]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 06 May 2016 01:41:24 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description><![CDATA[Great article — especially the MacPhail line. #nailedit]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Great article — especially the MacPhail line. #nailedit</p>
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		<title>By: Hub 312</title>
		<link>http://wrigleyville.locals.baseballprospectus.com/2016/05/05/ahead-of-the-curve-as-always-theos-plan-finds-imitators/#comment-10364</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Hub 312]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 05 May 2016 21:44:35 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description><![CDATA[I agree up to a point, but it&#039;s not just that high first round pick. It&#039;s also the slot money that goes with it and how you use it. The Cubs made the best use of the possibilities tanking made available based on the CBA rules then in place. 

Also, the Cubs were actually a little late to the party, so to speak, since the new CBA changed the playing field and took away some of the loopholes the Cardinals and other teams were able to exploit during their rebuilds, and it speaks volumes to Theo and the brain trust he put together that he was still able to pull it off. And, of course, there was a lot of luck involved too.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I agree up to a point, but it&#8217;s not just that high first round pick. It&#8217;s also the slot money that goes with it and how you use it. The Cubs made the best use of the possibilities tanking made available based on the CBA rules then in place. </p>
<p>Also, the Cubs were actually a little late to the party, so to speak, since the new CBA changed the playing field and took away some of the loopholes the Cardinals and other teams were able to exploit during their rebuilds, and it speaks volumes to Theo and the brain trust he put together that he was still able to pull it off. And, of course, there was a lot of luck involved too.</p>
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		<title>By: PolitiJim (@politiJim)</title>
		<link>http://wrigleyville.locals.baseballprospectus.com/2016/05/05/ahead-of-the-curve-as-always-theos-plan-finds-imitators/#comment-10363</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[PolitiJim (@politiJim)]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 05 May 2016 19:43:14 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://wrigleyville.locals.baseballprospectus.com/?p=10746#comment-10363</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Spectacular article.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Spectacular article.</p>
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		<title>By: Andrew</title>
		<link>http://wrigleyville.locals.baseballprospectus.com/2016/05/05/ahead-of-the-curve-as-always-theos-plan-finds-imitators/#comment-10359</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Andrew]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 05 May 2016 15:37:26 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://wrigleyville.locals.baseballprospectus.com/?p=10746#comment-10359</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[I&#039;m going to disagree with the notion that 2012-2014 were sacrificed with the intention of gaining high draft picks, if that is the point you are making.  Even though tanking has been a very hot topic recently, I still don&#039;t think it makes sense as a strategy.  Dave Cameron at Fangraphs has said as much as well: http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/tanking-does-mlb-really-have-a-problem/

When Theo came to the Cubs, he had to remake the organization.  The team was nowhere near a contender, and he recognized that.  The high draft picks were not the reason he blew the team up,  I think they were a byproduct of it.  And the evidence is the roster.  The 2016 Cubs are clearly the best team in baseball, but how much of that was due to the high draft picks they netted by &#039;tanking&#039;?  Kris Bryant, that&#039;s it.  Rizzo, Arrietta, Heyward, Fowler, Lester, Lackey, Zobrist, Soler, Hammel, Kendrick, Russell - none of these guys were obtained because the Cubs decided to tank.  They were obtained because Theo saw the team they had 2012-2014 just wasn&#039;t that good, so the best way to maximize the value they did have at the time was to act as sellers to teams who were contenders.

You kind of negated your own point by giving examples of other teams that did so but still weren&#039;t able to build contenders.  Hell, Schwarbers injury almost illustrates the point as well.  Schwarber was certainly a great hitter last year, and hopefully he will come back from his injury and have a great career.  But 1 injury to that player you drafted and all of a sudden the year you tanked wasn&#039;t worth it.  Combined with the uncertainty regarding amateur players and I just don&#039;t think losing intentionally with the hopes of gaining a high draft pick makes sense.  And I&#039;m not sure Theo does either.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I&#8217;m going to disagree with the notion that 2012-2014 were sacrificed with the intention of gaining high draft picks, if that is the point you are making.  Even though tanking has been a very hot topic recently, I still don&#8217;t think it makes sense as a strategy.  Dave Cameron at Fangraphs has said as much as well: <a href="http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/tanking-does-mlb-really-have-a-problem/" rel="nofollow">http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/tanking-does-mlb-really-have-a-problem/</a></p>
<p>When Theo came to the Cubs, he had to remake the organization.  The team was nowhere near a contender, and he recognized that.  The high draft picks were not the reason he blew the team up,  I think they were a byproduct of it.  And the evidence is the roster.  The 2016 Cubs are clearly the best team in baseball, but how much of that was due to the high draft picks they netted by &#8216;tanking&#8217;?  Kris Bryant, that&#8217;s it.  Rizzo, Arrietta, Heyward, Fowler, Lester, Lackey, Zobrist, Soler, Hammel, Kendrick, Russell &#8211; none of these guys were obtained because the Cubs decided to tank.  They were obtained because Theo saw the team they had 2012-2014 just wasn&#8217;t that good, so the best way to maximize the value they did have at the time was to act as sellers to teams who were contenders.</p>
<p>You kind of negated your own point by giving examples of other teams that did so but still weren&#8217;t able to build contenders.  Hell, Schwarbers injury almost illustrates the point as well.  Schwarber was certainly a great hitter last year, and hopefully he will come back from his injury and have a great career.  But 1 injury to that player you drafted and all of a sudden the year you tanked wasn&#8217;t worth it.  Combined with the uncertainty regarding amateur players and I just don&#8217;t think losing intentionally with the hopes of gaining a high draft pick makes sense.  And I&#8217;m not sure Theo does either.</p>
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