http://wrigleyville.locals.baseballprospectus.com/2016/05/09/exploding-the-moment-lester-in-a-jam/ Just another Baseball Prospectus Local Sites site Sat, 16 Feb 2019 21:04:52 +0000 hourly 1 http://wordpress.org/?v=4.1.1 http://wrigleyville.locals.baseballprospectus.com/2016/05/09/exploding-the-moment-lester-in-a-jam/#comment-10528 Sun, 15 May 2016 16:48:37 +0000 http://wrigleyville.locals.baseballprospectus.com/?p=10813#comment-10528 A run expectancy of 1.4 does not mean that it is a near certainty that a run will score in the inning. More like a 61% chance.

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