http://wrigleyville.locals.baseballprospectus.com/2017/02/09/how-likely-are-the-cubs-to-flop-in-2017/ Just another Baseball Prospectus Local Sites site Sat, 16 Feb 2019 21:04:52 +0000 hourly 1 http://wordpress.org/?v=4.1.1 http://wrigleyville.locals.baseballprospectus.com/2017/02/09/how-likely-are-the-cubs-to-flop-in-2017/#comment-16681 Thu, 09 Feb 2017 17:54:14 +0000 http://wrigleyville.locals.baseballprospectus.com/?p=17422#comment-16681 Good piece. I think the bullpen and rotational depth relies heavily no high-risk and high-variance players. I’m not critiquing the methodology, but when we look at guys like Koji (42 years old) or Duensing (13 IP last year) or Davis (arm) or others, it is reasonable to find a flaw with each guy. I don’t think it is a tick-tacky thing, either; our arms are loaded with guys who have historically been great or are good buy-lows, but all of them feel like a wide variance of outcomes. That’s my biggest concern for 2017.

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