http://wrigleyville.locals.baseballprospectus.com/2017/02/14/the-90th-percentile-cubs/ Just another Baseball Prospectus Local Sites site Sat, 16 Feb 2019 21:04:52 +0000 hourly 1 http://wordpress.org/?v=4.1.1 http://wrigleyville.locals.baseballprospectus.com/2017/02/14/the-90th-percentile-cubs/#comment-16842 Thu, 16 Feb 2017 12:33:32 +0000 http://wrigleyville.locals.baseballprospectus.com/?p=17510#comment-16842 Thanks Atticus! Yeah, it is definitely ridiculous – I thought it might be particularly fun given the composition of this team. I certainly don’t think PECOTA is equipped to deal with the extremes like Hendricks. While I expect regression, this is a fairly unsatisfactory projection for the 90th percentile.

]]> http://wrigleyville.locals.baseballprospectus.com/2017/02/14/the-90th-percentile-cubs/#comment-16824 Wed, 15 Feb 2017 16:38:39 +0000 http://wrigleyville.locals.baseballprospectus.com/?p=17510#comment-16824 Darius, this is really excellent. And from a Giants fan… in the UK! I think Hendricks has completely broken PECOTA. And Heyward isn’t going to hit .290 with twenty dongs. But it is generally fun to look at the 90% projection on that offense, as ridiculous as it is.

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