MLB: Pittsburgh Pirates at Chicago Cubs

Seven Surprises from the 2015 Cubs Season

The Cubs have already surprised a lot of knowledgeable people by winning 97 games and making the playoffs this year. How did they do it? A lot of it was pretty predictable: Anthony Rizzo and Kris Bryant led the offense, while Jon Lester put together a very good season after a rocky start. But a lot of […]

USATSI_8736571_168381444_lowres

Selection, Not Speed, Sapping Soler’s Power

By his own measures, this has probably been a disappointing season for Jorge Soler. On a team filled with rookies, of which many thought he might be the most talented, he’s spent the most time on the disabled list and has the fewest home runs. I commonly get asked on Twitter whether Soler should be […]

MLB: Chicago Cubs at Pittsburgh Pirates

An Exercise in Hopeful Caution: The Young Cubs and PECOTA 10-Year Projections

There are lots of exciting things about the Chicago Cubs this season, and in my opinion the most exciting among them is this: Despite their sizable and ever-increasing odds of making the playoffs (86.3 percent, as of this writing), fans have every reason to believe that the 2015 major-league baseball season will be the Cubs’ worst  in […]

MLB: Chicago Cubs at Atlanta Braves

Day and Night: The Cubs’ Odd Home and Away Splits

Through Monday, the Cubs are 27-24 at home and 30-23 on the road. I try not to get too carried away over split data, but while this portrays a positive development, there are intriguing undertones. This table shows the difference in OPS for the Cubs since 2000 for home and away games (hOPS and aOPS), […]

USATSI_8721080_168381444_lowres

What History Says When You Start Four Rookies

I was listening to 670 The Score on Monday afternoon when Dan Bernstein asked whether a team that started four rookies had ever made the playoffs. I enjoy researching these types of questions, and Dan did leave quite a bit to the imagination. I chose to define “rookie” using the filter in the Baseball-Reference Play […]